A Priori Probability: Larger Values

This article will cover how to handle a priori statistical or probabilistic reasoning when the estimated value is larger than the baseline value. In this article I show that for any probability P | 0 < P < 1, the risk-minimizing estimate for P is .5. This can be expanded to proportional estimates of frequency, … Read more A Priori Probability: Larger Values

6 Logical Principles

This article will cover 6 logical insights which are applicable to scientific analysis and philosophy. 1 – The Expanded Principle of Non-Contradiction Two nonequivalent statements cannot simultaneously be true and contradictory. The principle of non-contradiction holds that if A is true, A’ (that is, the negation of A) cannot also be true. An example would … Read more 6 Logical Principles