I previously conducted a bunch of analyses using a pirated (or cracked, or hacked, etc.) version of STATA. There is a rumor flying around that STATA has internal code which causes it to intentionally miscompute findings when a pirated version is used. With several caveats, I provide evidence that this rumor is false and the … Read more STATA 13-IC Crack Yields True Results
Exit Polling Analysis for 2013 VA Governor’s Race Summary For Republicans, a focus on the economy, Obamacare, positive messaging, strong fundraising, a strong campaign and avoidance of extremist labels seems to be a good move forward. The unmarried demographic, in particular females, also require careful attention. Other parties have major lessons to be learned here … Read more Lessons from the 2013 Cuccinelli Race
This article covers a source of historical bitcoin price data and a simple prediction based on that data. One place to find historical bitcoin price data would be from quandl. With an “L,” as in “candle.” It’s a finance thing. I grabbed two data sets and performed separate regressions using Gnumeric. One set of data … Read more Historical Bitcoin Price and Prediction
Tldr – While Didier’s talk is interesting, he fails to sufficiently defend or even describe his methodology. There is a great debate in economics about the ability to control economic systems. The Austrian, Classical and Free Market views emphasize that markets are not fully controllable. These views are opposed by Neokeynesianism which, while allowing that … Read more Calling Didier’s Economic Bluff
This article goes over my methodology for a bitcoin valuation which resulted in my guest article on the Mineforman website here. The spreadsheet I used, complete with all my little self-notes and summaries, is available in its original Gnumeric format here, and in the more common Excel format here. Simple Excel conversion resulted in some errors … Read more Methodology for Bitcoin Valuation as a Fiat Hedge
Bitcoin will easily double in value by year’s end. It’s on the blog now its an official prediction. I don’t have time to go over the calculations but just look at the damn graph its pretty obvious (from coinbase.com/charts): I expect BTC to exceed double today’s (April 2) price ($132) by the end of the … Read more Bitcoin: 10,000% ROI Over 10 Years?! Valuation, Analysis, Prediction.
This is the release of my highly relevant initial Bitcoin technical analysis. SummaryUnder highly conservative expectations Bitcoin will maintain a value of $18 USD per Bitcoin over the next 9 months. We should see a dip in February followed by large gains for the following 8 months. Under favorable expectations Bitcoin may achieve $45 USD … Read more Bitcoin Technical Analysis P1
In mid December I invested in Bitcoins. In the past month they have jumped from #13.3 to $14.2 each in value according to this reliable source. This is not just volatility in my view. It is part of a longer term trend. Why? That’s what this article is about. In foreign exchange, which I have … Read more Trading the News and Bitcoin