This article forecasts the price of flying transportation over time by arguing that flying transportation is revolutionary transportation, and Tesla was also revolutionary transportation, therefore we can estimate the dynamic price trend of flying transportation by looking at how Tesla…
Category: Economics
Accurately Time-Estimating Development Tasks
While I admit that logging tasks in Agile results in some overhead, there are many cases where this overhead is worth it. Decomposing user stories into tasks or subtasks in JIRA is a non-special case of task decomposition in general.…
Ologit is a Thing
I recently published a 44 page working paper to SSRN. I’ve been fortunate enough to hear a couple comments so far, and I hope they keep coming in. One friend noticed that I didn’t try an ordered logistic regression. I…
Tagged with: alternative credentials, alternative education, education, logistic, logit, ologit, stata
First Impression of YNAB
No, this is not an April Fool’s post. This is a few of my first impressions using You Need a Budget. I don’t mind the approach it takes of budgeting actual cash on hand. I like the digital integrations with…
ARV Calculation Case Study
I’m trying to estimate the after repair value (ARV) of a home I own in Alexandria, VA. This article show initial steps in doing that. My basic approach to ARV estimation is to comp the target house plan. While I’m…
On The Rights of Children
Fee recently posted an article arguing that we should raise the voting age. A Facebook friend also posted recently, saying: The most complicated issues for either libertarianism or anarchism is anything to do with children; from conception till they are…
Price-Based vs Event-Based BTC Forecasting
One reason I got out of stock trading and into crypto trading years ago is because it was clear that stocks were being driven by events and news much more than fundamentals, and it was nearly impossible for me to…
How Should I Save Money?
Much of my work is dedicated toward getting people from a bad financial situation into a good one, but this article describes my advice about what to do once you have arrived. Much of my work is dedicated to alternative…
Don’t Fear Metrics When Measuring Developer Quality
I want to laugh when people say common metrics shouldn’t be used for establishing developer productivity. It seems like a prototypical pseudo-intellectual move to point out that such metrics can be misleading when used improperly, but the speaker of such…
Real Estate Portfolio Lending
This article defines a real estate portfolio, notes some portfolio lending resources, and discusses when using such resources might be a good or bad idea. This month I closed on my first investment property. I will actually be receiving a…
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